Almond trees blooming in the Capay Valley, Northern CaliforniaIn my last chapter I gave an example of how water is used in a tomato cannery. This time, let's look at the bigger picture how water relates to food production, worldwide.
According to FAO data for 2015, almost 800 million people globally are undernourished. Insufficient daily calories and proteins means that they go to bed hungry. And this is without counting those who are not necessarily falling short in terms of the quantity of food but are not being adequately fed in terms of the quality of food. I know, these numbers are estimates, difficult to measure. We should, therefore congratulate FAO who developed methods for the measurement and is making sure this issue does not completely disappear from political agendas. 220 million of the undernourished people live in Sub-Saharan Africa, this is more than 23% of its total population. (Food and water security Nov 26, 2015 Peter Brabeck-Letmathe Chairman of the Board at Nestlé S.A.)
Brabeck-Letmathe goes on and states that: The inexcusable fact is that today the world is producing more than enough basic food to feed everybody.
There is a disproportionate distribution of food in today’s world. He goes on and gives some reasons; one of the main ones being:
Mainly as a result of the high water requirements to produce our food, we are already withdrawing 20% more water than what is sustainably available (Defined as natural renewal minus needs for environmental flows in specific watersheds) – mostly at the expense of nature. By 2030, if there is no change in the way we manage water, withdrawals will exceed sustainable supply by more than 60%. In 30% of the main cereal-producing regions of the world, water withdrawals will be even twice as high as sustainable supply. The buffers we have - underground aquifers and lakes - are quickly drying up. The long and short of it is that within some 15 years a massive food production crisis with massive food shortfalls is highly probable.
Professor Arjen Y. Hoekstra, Twente Water Centre, University of Twente,
the Netherlands, writes:
Water management is no longer an issue restricted to individual countries or river basins. Even a continental approach
is not sufficient. The water footprint of Europe – the total
volume of water used for producing all commodities consumed by European citizens – has been significantly externalized to other parts of the world. Europe is for example a large
importer of sugar and cotton, two of the most thirsty crops.
Coffee is imported from countries such as Colombia, soybean
from Brazil, and rice from Thailand. European consumption
strongly relies on water resources available outside Europe.
How is Europe going to secure its future water supply? China and
India are still largely water self-sufficient, but with rising food
demand and growing water scarcity within these two major
developing countries, one will have to expect a larger demand
for food imports and thus external water demand. Water is
increasingly becoming a global resource.
Although in many countries most of the food still originates
from the country itself, substantial volumes of food and feed
are internationally traded. As a result, all countries import and
export water in virtual form, i.e. in the form of agricultural
commodities.
A good example closer to California is the export of almonds, mainly to China: From 2012 to 2013, China imported more than 94,428 tons of almonds from California, making it the largest export market destination for California almonds for the fourth year in a row, according to the Almond Board of California. Export volume of almonds from the US to China increased from 10,000 tons in 2002 to 100,000 tons in 2010, with shipments doubling in the past six years.
Waycott said he didn't expect future almond sales in China to grow as quickly as they have over the last five years, but the long-term opportunity for growth in China was still very significant. "From the 94,428 tons today, we could easily be doubling or tripling that in the years to come. We see a very promising future in China," he added. By Yu Wei in San Francisco (China Daily USA)
As those of you in California are aware, the almond crop is growing exponentially, in leaps and bounds! More and more almond orchards are planted. California prides itself on the great crop and export, but has anyone looked at it from a “virtual water export” point of view as described by Professor Hoekstra?
The virtual water concept was introduced by Tony Allan
when he studied the possibility of importing virtual water (as
opposed to real water) as a partial solution to problems of
water scarcity in the Middle East. Allan elaborated the idea of
using virtual water import (coming along with food imports)
as a tool to release the pressure on scarcely available domestic
water resources. Virtual water import thus becomes an alternative
water source, alongside endogenous water sources.
The water footprint
of a product (a commodity, good or service) is the volume of
fresh water used to produce the product, measured at the place
where the product was actually produced. It refers to the sum
of the water used in the various steps of the production chain.
The ’water footprint’ of a product is the same as what at other
times is called its ’virtual water content’.
Table 1 shows the
water footprint for a number of common food items:
So, with California’s drought situation, should almond orchards be increased to supply China and India?
